Showing posts with label mystery. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mystery. Show all posts

Sunday, 16 March 2014

MH370 vanishing - an experiment or a practical joke gone terrifyingly wrong?

There's enough outrage and enough conspiracy theories floating around about MH370, so I suppose one more outrageous theory doesn't come to mind. From aliens and meteorites to hijacking, all sorts of things have come up and all seemed equally likely, and now hijacking of some sort seems the most viable option. But there's the question of motive, which has yet to be answered - why has no terrorist organization claimed responsibility, and what is the motive of a possible hijacker? An airplane that flies around for hours after being hijacked is not likely under the control of a suicidal pilot or a 9/11 suicide bomber.

There were 20 employees of Freescale Semiconductors on board and Freescale works on military technology like radar jammers. Conspiracy theorists suspect that these men were either the target of the hijacking, or were responsible for it and used Freescale's technology to cover up the airplane's radar signature. That latter idea is wrong - and stupid because you can't just bring a radar jammer inside a 777's fuselage and expect it to work (Try bringing that kind of thing in cabin baggage in the first place). Besides, the plane was tracked throughout.

But here comes Hugo Teso. Teso proves that it is possible to hack into a modern airliner's computer systems using nothing more than an android phone, and that "cyber-jacking" an airliner is possible with nothing more than a smartphone app! And the hacker needn't even be on the plane!!! Wow.

Even if MH370 was cyber-jacked remotely by a mobile phone, that doesn't answer basic questions about the hijacking, like who, why, and where. The "how" isn't nearly enough.

One especially outrageous possibility comes up, in the midst of all this worry and fear and terror : an experiment, or a practical joke by someone onboard. Someone could have been testing Teso's cyber-hacking app by hacking into the airliner's computer, and then sent it off-track just for the sake of scaring the daylights out of the pilots. For kicks, the hacker made the flight instruments display the wrong information, or shifted the plane onto its old flight path. The pilots may not even have noticed the plane turning if they were sitting, especially if it were a very shallow bank. A sleepy or distracted pilot may not even realize that they're off-course. Trouble with the radios might be put down to an electronic fault.

And what happens after this? The hacker, oblivious to the damage done or expecting the joke to be harmless, goofs off for a while longer, and maybe goes to sleep, expecting the plane to head back on course to Beijing with two very annoyed pilots on the flight deck. A classic case of internet trolling, eh?

Except that whenever the pilots realized that the plane was flying all the way off course, it would have been too late. They probably expected the body of water they were flying over to be the South China Sea, and turned port (left), expecting to go back onto the Chinese mainland, when they were in fact heading over the Andaman Sea and had turned out in the middle of the Southern Indian Ocean, one of the most desolate stretches of open water on the planet.

And what happens next? They're flying for hours, and by the time the sun comes up and is in the wrong position at the wrong time, the aircraft is totally lost and out of sight for everyone, the hacked instruments and radio have been messed up so badly that they can't send any messages or even figure out where they are. Maybe they realize that Australia or India is the closest land to their location and turn that way, or maybe they meander about with their hacked instruments and finally run out of fuel at sea.

Worst practical joke or software experiment ever? Possibly. It's not a pleasant theory, but what can be pleasant, with 239 people missing and probably dead, and the entire world flummoxed?






Wednesday, 12 March 2014

MH370 - India joins the search too, Malaysia claims it went near the Andaman and Nicobar Islands

The sheer absurdity of the MH370 disappearance continues to reach new heights. As if having a Boeing 777 with 239 passengers on board just vanish into nothingness - an modern airliner 63 meters (200 feet) long and weighing close to 300 tons fully loaded, not a piddly little single-engined aircraft - wasn't absurd enough, the behavior of the Malaysian authorities has been mind-boggling. Now they claim to have traced the aircraft all the way to the Andaman and Nicobar Islands! Couldn't they have told the Indian authorities about this sooner?

http://zeenews.india.com/news/world/live-indian-air-force-aircraft-ready-to-hunt-missing-malaysia-airlines-jet_917414.html

http://in.reuters.com/article/2014/03/12/malaysia-airlines-idINDEEA2900B20140312

Just like I predicted in the previous post, the Indian Air Force, Navy and Coastguard have gotten involved in their search for the missing airliner, making India the 12th country to join the search for the plane.

http://in.reuters.com/article/2014/03/12/malaysia-airlines-coastguard-idINDEEA2B08D20140312

Given the sheer ridiculousness of the plane's off-radar whereabouts, it's doubtful that they will find anything at all. The plane may be thousands of kilometers away from Indian territory, and the search might be a wild goose chase. In other circumstances, the search and the resources thrown into it would be completely justified, but the contradictory and sometimes meaningless information about the aircraft's whereabouts aren't helping. What the hell is going on here?

Anyway, assuming that the plane has a five-hour flight time after going away from the Straits of Malacca, and assuming that it took another hour longer to reach the Andaman Sea and go "poof", the plane would still have another four hours of fuel left. Even if this is a generous estimate - cut it down to three hours of flight time near the Andamans - that means that the plane could be anywhere between 2100 to 2700 kilometers away from its last known location. MH370 had enough fuel to reach Beijing and stay up for another 60 to 90 minutes in the air - that's enough to cross the Bay of Bengal and visit India, Sri Lanka or Bangladesh. The search area, if it keeps ballooning like this, is going to extend to the whole of the Bay of Bengal, or even head further south into the Indian Ocean, an area as large as India itself. Nobody's going to find the plane if the search area keeps growing like this!

The "Twilight Zone" scenario is going to continue for a while. Apart from scouring images for signs of aircraft wreckage, the only thing left to do is to wish the searchers "good luck", because they're really going to need it.

EDIT: One expert admits that the plane must have landed, and it seems that a phone could possibly ring out on water. (which I find extremely unlikely). And yes, it is amazing.
 http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-26544710

Tuesday, 11 March 2014

MH370 tracked across the coast - complete insanity prevails - and possible solution? Indian and Indonesian efforts?

http://www.scmp.com/news/asia/article/1446676/missing-malaysian-airlines-jet-flew-course-hour-low-altitude

How this could possibly have happened beats me, and I'm sure enough people will be scratching their heads about it. The Malaysian Air Defense Network tracked the missing aircraft making a U-turn all the way from the point where it dived and dropped off civilian radar, across the entire Malaysian Peninsula, across from the East to the West coast!

Why the hell did they keep silent on the issue? What if the 777 had been hijacked and was heading for Kuala Lumpur with a suicide attack in mind? This is outrageous. Fighters should have been scrambled at once, and SAM batteries readied.

Of course, with the Air Force keeping its mouth shut about this, it's quite possible that fighters were indeed readied and SAM batteries set to fire, but that this whole thing was kept shut so that a hijack and hostage situation could be dealt with outside the realm of the media, where things would get wild. This is mere speculation, possibly fantasy, and it also assumes that the Malaysian Air Force is indeed extremely competent and has acted in the best manner possible in this incident. If the competence theory holds good, the plane is indeed hijacked and on the ground, and negotiations are underway - or perhaps commandos are ready and waiting to storm the plane, flush out the hijackers and get rid of them, and rescue the passengers and crew.

The worse possibility is that the Malay Air Force has been dreadfully incompetent, and that the plane has been hijacked or taken away by a psychotic/drunk/insane crew to an unknown location. That the plane still physically exists is quite possible, given that passengers' phones are still connected and ringing even when no one picks up the call. Destroyed cell phones from dead passengers don't ring. But where could they be? What rogue group could possibly have a runway large enough to sneak away an airplane that's 63 meters long and has a 63 meter wingspan? This requires the services of a proper airport, and one with a runway broad enough to land a 777! Not something you'd get in the jungle, right?

Unless, of course, the airplane has ditched at sea, and the passengers and crew are dead. Which is the most terrible option and which hopefully isn't true. The "ghost" mobile phones suggest that it's not, but we have to see...

This also means that the Indian Air Force base on Car Nicobar needs to be brought into action, along with the Indonesian Air Force. The Indonesians should have tracked the plane at least part of the way, and the Indian Air Force base could have detected the 777 had it come close to the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.

All of this, is, of course, speculation. But there's something very wrong going on here, and events simply do not make sense. Now that the actual last contact with the aircraft is known, how far can the aircraft have flown without being detected by radar - by any nation? There were at least 5 more hours of fuel left on the plane when it was last detected, and that's a long way for any aircraft to go. Where is MH370 gone? To be seen. To be seen.